Nepal vs Canada, 17th Match, ICC CWC Qualifier Play-off 2026
NEP vs CAN Prediction: Who Will Win?
Nepalto win
57%win chance Who do you think will win?
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Nepal go into this game as slight favourites, and we expect them to win it.
Nepal come in with the better form, having won three of their last five games, while Canada have won two of their last five. They also have the upper hand over Canada, winning 4 of the 7 meetings between the two sides that produced a result. They know these conditions, with three wins from four games at this venue, while Canada have not played a decided game here.
The toss could matter here. Chasing has been the better option at this ground, so the captain who calls right may well choose to bowl first. We expect a first-innings score of around 225, and anything well above that should put the batting side in control.
NEP vs CAN Score Prediction at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground
If Nepal bat first
If Canada bat firstHow totals go at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground
NEP vs CAN Toss Prediction
Whoever wins the toss is likely to bowl first.
- Nepal chose to bat first in 1 of their last 1 tosses won.
- Canada chose to bat first in 1 of their last 1 tosses won.
NEP vs CAN Pitch Report
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur
Runs have not come easily at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, where the bowlers usually find something in the surface.
Across the last 32 ODI matches here, the side batting first has averaged 219, with chasing teams averaging 191. Anything in the 205-235 range should make a competitive total. Results have been evenly split: 14 wins for the side batting first and 18 for the chasers.
The last 3 first-innings scores here, newest first: 195 (USA, lost), 321/6 (SCO, won), 218/7 (NEP, lost). Scoring has gone up lately: the last 3 first innings averaged 245, above the ground average of 219. First-innings totals here have ranged from 35 to 321 in that time.
Toss call: a close one. Bowling first and knowing the target is the safer choice.
NEP vs CAN Preview
Our full preview, with team news and a prediction, will be published before the start.
NEP vs CAN Recent Form
Nepal3 won · 2 lostlast 5- W
vs OmanNepal won by 10 runs19 Oct2026 - Lvs CanadaCanada won by 24 runs17 Oct2026
- Wvs OmanNepal won by 113 runs13 Oct2026
- Wvs CanadaNepal won by 24 runs11 Oct2026
- L
vs NetherlandsNetherlands won by 57 runs29 Jul2026
NEP vs CAN Head to Head
NepalCanadaNepal lead 4-3 in ODI cricket. Canada won the last meeting.
Last 4 meetings
- 17 Oct 2026 Canada won by 24 runsCAN 256 (50), NEP 232 (46) · 132nd Match, ICC CWC League 2 2026 CAN
- 11 Oct 2026 Nepal won by 24 runsNEP 235 (50), CAN 211 (48.4) · 129th Match, ICC CWC League 2 2026 NEP
- 22 Sep 2024 Result not recorded32nd Match, ICC CWC League 2 2024 NR
- 16 Sep 2024 Result not recorded26th Match, ICC CWC League 2 2024 NR
NEP vs CAN Team Records
At Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground
Batting first and chasing
NepalAverage first-innings score237
CanadaAverage first-innings score256
Last 10 ODI results with a result.
NEP vs CAN Key Players
Top performers from their last match
Nepalvs OMA, 19 Oct- Rohit PaudelBatSR 998081 balls
- Dipendra Singh AireeBatSR 1116962 balls
- Dipendra Singh AireeBowlEcon 5.42/499 overs
- Lalit RajbanshiBowlEcon 6.32/579 overs
Canadavs NEP, 17 Oct- Yuvraj SamraBatSR 90105117 balls
- Aaron JohnsonBatSR 683653 balls
- Sukhjinder SinghBowlEcon 3.92/359 overs
- Zahid ShirzadBowlEcon 4.61/306.3 overs
Players in form
Nepallast 5 ODI matchesBatting
- Rohit Paudel2 inns · best 80 · SR 8998runs
- Dipendra Singh Airee2 inns · best 69 · SR 10592runs
- Arjun Kumal1 inns · best 76 · SR 7576runs
Bowling
- Lalit Rajbanshi2 inns · econ 5.16wickets
- Sandeep Lamichhane2 inns · econ 4.34wickets
- Dipendra Singh Airee2 inns · econ 5.44wickets
Canadalast 5 ODI matchesBatting
- Yuvraj Samra1 inns · best 105 · SR 90105runs
- Aaron Johnson1 inns · best 36 · SR 6836runs
- Harsh Thaker1 inns · best 34 · SR 6034runs
Bowling
- Sukhjinder Singh1 inns · econ 3.92wickets
- Zahid Shirzad1 inns · econ 4.61wickets
- Kaleem Sana1 inns · econ 6.21wickets
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground Record
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