Northern Districts vs Central Stags, 25th Match, The Ford Trophy 2026-27

Bay OvalSat 13 Feb 20273:00 AM IST (10:30 AM local)

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CST

Starts Sat 13 Feb · 3:00 AM IST

ND vs CST Prediction: Who Will Win?

Match winner

Northern Districtsto win 71%win chance

ND 71%

CST 29%

Who do you think will win?

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Everything points towards Northern Districts, who start as strong favourites at 71%.

Northern Districts are in better shape, with two wins from their last five games against no from five for Central Stags. The head-to-head record backs them too: Northern Districts lead it 11-10. In the table, Northern Districts sit 5th with two wins from five, while Central Stags are 6th.

Sides batting second have done better at this ground, so expect the toss winner to bowl. A first-innings total of about 235 looks par for this game.

ND vs CST Score Prediction at Bay Oval

If Northern Districts bat first

225-255runs

Most likely around 238

If Central Stags bat first

210-240runs

Most likely around 227

How totals go at Bay Oval

208Avg 1st innings

180Avg 2nd innings

1-7Bat first v chase wins

8ODI matches here

ND vs CST Toss Prediction

Whoever wins the toss is likely to bowl first.

Northern Districts chose to bat first in 1 of their last 1 tosses won.
Central Stags chose to bowl first in 1 of their last 1 tosses won.

ND vs CST Pitch Report

Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui

Runs have not come easily at Bay Oval, where the bowlers usually find something in the surface.

Across the last 8 List A matches here, the side batting first has averaged 208, with chasing teams averaging 180. A score of 195-225 looks like par on this surface. Chasing has been the smarter option, with the side batting second winning 7 of the last 8 decided games.

The last 3 first-innings scores here, newest first: 333 (NZ, won), 167 (ND, lost), 223 (ENG, lost). Scoring has gone up lately: the last 3 first innings averaged 241, above the ground average of 208. First-innings totals here have ranged from 109 to 333 in that time.

This has been a seamers' ground: pace bowlers have taken 73% of the wickets here (19 of 26). Seamers have gone at 5.08 an over and spinners at 4.97.

Toss call: bowl first. The captain who wins it is likely to put the other side in.

ND vs CST Preview

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ND vs CST Recent Form

Northern Districts2 won · 3 lostlast 5

Lvs Canterbury KingsCanterbury Kings won by 4 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)12 Nov2026
Wvs Otago VoltsNorthern Districts won by 3 wickets (with 0 balls remaining)8 Nov2026
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Lvs Auckland AcesAuckland won by 4 wkts31 Oct2026
Wvs Central StagsNorthern Districts won by 62 runs28 Oct2026

Central StagsLost last 50 won · 5 lostlast 5

Lvs Wellington FirebirdsWellington Firebirds won by 147 runs12 Nov2026
Lvs Canterbury KingsCanterbury Kings won by 2 wickets (with 100 balls remaining)8 Nov2026
Lvs Auckland AcesAuckland Aces won by 74 runs4 Nov2026
Lvs Otago VoltsOtago won by 29 runs1 Nov2026
Lvs Northern DistrictsNorthern Districts won by 62 runs28 Oct2026