Nepal vs Italy, 1st Match, ICC CWC Qualifier Play-off 2026

Tribhuvan University International Cricket GroundFri 4 Dec 20269:45 AM IST (10:00 AM local)
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Starts Fri 4 Dec · 9:45 AM IST

NEP vs ITA Prediction: Who Will Win?

Match winner Italyto win 54%win chance

Who do you think will win?

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It is close to a coin flip, but our pick is Italy, who come out marginally ahead at 54%.

Italy come in with the better form, having won four of their last four games, while Nepal have won three of their last five. That said, Nepal have the better record at this ground (three wins from four), which is why this is far from a sure thing.

The toss could matter here. Chasing has been the better option at this ground, so the captain who calls right may well choose to bowl first. We expect a first-innings score of around 225, and anything well above that should put the batting side in control.

NEP vs ITA Score Prediction at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground

If Nepal bat first
210-240runs
Most likely around 227
If Italy bat first
205-235runs
Most likely around 220

How totals go at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground

219Avg 1st innings
191Avg 2nd innings
14-18Bat first v chase wins
32ODI matches here

NEP vs ITA Toss Prediction

Whoever wins the toss is likely to bowl first.

  • Nepal chose to bat first in 1 of their last 1 tosses won.

NEP vs ITA Pitch Report

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur

Runs have not come easily at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, where the bowlers usually find something in the surface.

The first-innings average over the last 32 ODI games at this ground is 219, and 191 in the second innings. Anything in the 205-235 range should make a competitive total. There is little to choose between batting first and chasing, 14 wins to 18 across the last 32 decided games.

The last 3 first-innings scores here, newest first: 195 (USA, lost), 321/6 (SCO, won), 218/7 (NEP, lost). Scoring has gone up lately: the last 3 first innings averaged 245, above the ground average of 219. First-innings totals here have ranged from 35 to 321 in that time.

Toss call: there is not much in it, but most captains will still choose to chase.

NEP vs ITA Preview

Our full preview, with team news and a prediction, will be published before the start.

NEP vs ITA Recent Form

Nepal3 won · 2 lostlast 5
  1. Lv NED
  2. Wv CAN
  3. Wv OMA
  4. Lv CAN
  5. Wv OMA
ItalyWon last 44 won · 0 lostlast 4
  1. Wv BHR
  2. Wv UGA
  3. Wv SIN
  4. Wv HK

NEP vs ITA Head to Head

These teams have not met in a ODI match on our records.

NEP vs ITA Team Records

At Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground

Nepal
3Won
1Lost
1No result

Last 5 ODI matches here

Italy

First ODI match here on our records.

Batting first and chasing

Nepal
Batting first4/5 won
Chasing1/5 won

Average first-innings score237

Italy
Batting first0/0 won
Chasing2/2 won

Average first-innings score–

Last 10 ODI results with a result.

NEP vs ITA Key Players

Top performers from their last match

Nepalvs OMA, 19 Oct

Players in form

Nepallast 5 ODI matches

Batting

Bowling

Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground Record

32ODI matches
219Avg 1st innings
191Avg 2nd innings
14Won batting first
18Won chasing
321Highest 1st inns

Full ground record

More ICC CWC Qualifier Play-off 2026 matches

All fixtures and results

Other matches on 4 December