Nepal vs Italy, 1st Match, ICC CWC Qualifier Play-off 2026
NEP vs ITA Prediction: Who Will Win?
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It is close to a coin flip, but our pick is Italy, who come out marginally ahead at 54%.
Italy come in with the better form, having won four of their last four games, while Nepal have won three of their last five. That said, Nepal have the better record at this ground (three wins from four), which is why this is far from a sure thing.
The toss could matter here. Chasing has been the better option at this ground, so the captain who calls right may well choose to bowl first. We expect a first-innings score of around 225, and anything well above that should put the batting side in control.
NEP vs ITA Score Prediction at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground
How totals go at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground
NEP vs ITA Toss Prediction
Whoever wins the toss is likely to bowl first.
- Nepal chose to bat first in 1 of their last 1 tosses won.
NEP vs ITA Pitch Report
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur
Runs have not come easily at Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, where the bowlers usually find something in the surface.
The first-innings average over the last 32 ODI games at this ground is 219, and 191 in the second innings. Anything in the 205-235 range should make a competitive total. There is little to choose between batting first and chasing, 14 wins to 18 across the last 32 decided games.
The last 3 first-innings scores here, newest first: 195 (USA, lost), 321/6 (SCO, won), 218/7 (NEP, lost). Scoring has gone up lately: the last 3 first innings averaged 245, above the ground average of 219. First-innings totals here have ranged from 35 to 321 in that time.
Toss call: there is not much in it, but most captains will still choose to chase.
NEP vs ITA Preview
Our full preview, with team news and a prediction, will be published before the start.
NEP vs ITA Recent Form
- W
vs OmanNepal won by 10 runs19 Oct2026 - L
vs CanadaCanada won by 24 runs17 Oct2026 - W
vs OmanNepal won by 113 runs13 Oct2026 - W
vs CanadaNepal won by 24 runs11 Oct2026 - L
vs NetherlandsNetherlands won by 57 runs29 Jul2026
- W
vs Hong KongItaly won by 6 wickets17 Aug2026 - W
vs SingaporeItaly won by 7 wickets14 Aug2026 - W
vs UgandaItaly won by 113 runs11 Aug2026 - W
vs BahrainItaly won by 68 runs9 Aug2026
NEP vs ITA Head to Head
These teams have not met in a ODI match on our records.
NEP vs ITA Team Records
At Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground
Batting first and chasing
Average first-innings score237
Average first-innings score–
Last 10 ODI results with a result.
NEP vs ITA Key Players
Top performers from their last match
- Rohit PaudelBatSR 998081 balls
- Dipendra Singh AireeBatSR 1116962 balls
- Dipendra Singh AireeBowlEcon 5.42/499 overs
- Lalit RajbanshiBowlEcon 6.32/579 overs
Players in form
Batting
- Rohit Paudel2 inns · best 80 · SR 8998runs
- Dipendra Singh Airee2 inns · best 69 · SR 10592runs
- Arjun Kumal1 inns · best 76 · SR 7576runs
Bowling
- Lalit Rajbanshi2 inns · econ 5.16wickets
- Sandeep Lamichhane2 inns · econ 4.34wickets
- Dipendra Singh Airee2 inns · econ 5.44wickets